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The Andromeda Strain

Ben Hunt

November 12, 2015·2 comments·epsilon theory

We know we're being manipulated by stories. We can name the mechanism, identify the pressure points, understand exactly how narratives exploit our blind spots. Yet knowing how the trap works doesn't keep us from stepping into it. The gap between recognizing manipulation and avoiding it is where most of us live, and it's wider than any framework claims to bridge.

  • The most popular prescriptions for better thinking share a hidden flaw. They're derived from studying what worked in the past, then generalized as universal rules. This works until it doesn't, and no one warns you when the historical sample no longer applies.
  • Process and algorithms succeed brilliantly in the real world, but at a cost nobody quite names. The most dominant figures in finance, sports, and management have weaponized predictability. Something human gets left behind, but the results are undeniable.
  • Understanding why you're vulnerable to a narrative doesn't inoculate you against the next one. Recognizing the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect doesn't prevent you from experiencing it. Knowledge and behavior operate on different circuits.
  • The people who see the machinery most clearly are those who've lived through totalitarianism. They understand that spotting evil is easier than stopping it, and that naming a mechanism doesn't neutralize its power. Awareness and powerlessness can coexist.
  • The real education isn't in learning how to think better or predict more accurately. It's in learning to recognize narrative itself as the primary force shaping what happens next. Everything else is an attempt to systematize what cannot be systematized.

The Why of Epsilon Theory

  • Make more informed decisions as an investor and citizen.
  • See through the nudges of Big Politics and Big Media.
  • Become a better consumer of news.
  • Maintain your autonomy of mind in a swarm of narratives.
  • Join a community of more than 100,000 truth-seekers.

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DISCLOSURES

This commentary is being provided to you as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. The opinions expressed in these materials represent the personal views of the author(s). It is not investment research or a research recommendation, as it does not constitute substantive research or analysis. Any action that you take as a result of information contained in this document is ultimately your responsibility. Epsilon Theory will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. Consult your investment advisor before making any investment decisions. It must be noted, that no one can accurately predict the future of the market with certainty or guarantee future investment performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Statements in this communication are forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements and other views expressed herein are as of the date of this publication. Actual future results or occurrences may differ significantly from those anticipated in any forward-looking statements, and there is no guarantee that any predictions will come to pass. The views expressed herein are subject to change at any time, due to numerous market and other factors. Epsilon Theory disclaims any obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or views expressed herein. This information is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities. This commentary has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. Epsilon Theory recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial advisor. The appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will depend on an investor's individual circumstances and objectives.

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