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Gell-Mann Amnesia

Ben Hunt

October 10, 2018·5 comments·In Brief

You've been wrong about how you trust information. When you read an article about something you know intimately, you spot the errors immediately. The facts are backward. The motivations are inverted. The implications are backwards. Then you turn the page and read the next story as if it's reliable. You forget what you just learned.

•        The credibility gap is one-directional. Everyone with expertise in their field has had the experience of seeing their domain covered catastrophically wrong by journalists. Yet almost no one carries this realization forward to articles about unfamiliar topics.

•        We're wired to believe confident assertion. The presentation itself, when delivered by someone positioned as authoritative, becomes the fact. This is how narrative functions in the information ecosystem, regardless of what's actually true.

•        Entertainment is not separate from this dynamic. The cultural products we consume construct reality at the same time they reflect it. The mechanisms that shape news also shape how we see ourselves through stories and film.

•        Everyone playing the game knows the game is rigged. Institutions, journalists, filmmakers, commentators. Those with power to shape narrative are actively constructing it. Those without the power are being constructed by it.

•        The question becomes whether we can recognize we're being played while we're still being played. Skepticism itself becomes exhausting and difficult once you see the mechanism. What does it mean to consume information critically in a system built specifically to bypass critical thinking?

The Why of Epsilon Theory

  • Make more informed decisions as an investor and citizen.
  • See through the nudges of Big Politics and Big Media.
  • Become a better consumer of news.
  • Maintain your autonomy of mind in a swarm of narratives.
  • Join a community of more than 100,000 truth-seekers.

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DISCLOSURES

This commentary is being provided to you as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. The opinions expressed in these materials represent the personal views of the author(s). It is not investment research or a research recommendation, as it does not constitute substantive research or analysis. Any action that you take as a result of information contained in this document is ultimately your responsibility. Epsilon Theory will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. Consult your investment advisor before making any investment decisions. It must be noted, that no one can accurately predict the future of the market with certainty or guarantee future investment performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Statements in this communication are forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements and other views expressed herein are as of the date of this publication. Actual future results or occurrences may differ significantly from those anticipated in any forward-looking statements, and there is no guarantee that any predictions will come to pass. The views expressed herein are subject to change at any time, due to numerous market and other factors. Epsilon Theory disclaims any obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or views expressed herein. This information is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities. This commentary has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. Epsilon Theory recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial advisor. The appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will depend on an investor's individual circumstances and objectives.

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